The number of swing seats, defined as those between D+5 and R+5, is 82.[4]. The most Republican seat in the nation continues to be Alabama's rural 4th CD, held by GOP Rep. Robert Aderholt, with a PVI score of R+33. She defeated Lucy Cain (R) and Ken Ashby (L) in the general election. .leg-hnt-flex-row { [post_date] => 2020-05-08 20:23:35 [12], 1992 The PVI was developed by Charles Cook, editor and publisher of Cook, and scores each congressional district based on how strongly it leans toward one political party. padding-left: 2px; column-count: auto; .leg-infobox-hide { background-color: #003388; left: 0; Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) defeated Max Koch, III (L) and Eric LeMonte Williams (I) in the general election. text-align: center; The most Democratic district in the nation is California's12th, based in Oakland, with a PVI value of D+40. The Cook Partisan Voter Index, first published in 1997, rates the degree to which a congressional district leans Republican or Democrat by comparing the district's voting history in presidential elections to the nation as a whole. [tag_slug__in] => Array event.srcElement.innerText = '[show]'; display: inline-block; border-top: 1px solid #aaa; The number of swing seats, defined as those between D+5 and R+5, is 82.[4]. The Cook PVI tracks the partisan ratings of all 435 congressional districts and all 50 states. vertical-align: middle; The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index (PVI) is a measurement tool that scores each congressional district based on how strongly it leans toward one political party. } ( padding-bottom: 5px; .infobox caption { } of Constitutional Law, text-align: left; table.census-table { ) margin: 0 5px; .inner_percentage.Libertarian { .inner_percentage.Republican { And after redistricting, the median House seat (Michigan's 8th CD) retains a modest skew of R+1, virtually unchanged from the old map. Jasmine Crockett defeated Jane Hamilton in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 30 on May 24, 2022. This page was last edited on 21 February 2023, at 22:36. [update_post_meta_cache] => 1 1052 (2021), Derek T. Muller, Weaponizing the Ballot. } .votebox-scroll-container { ( margin-bottom:16px; The Cook Political Report first introduced the PVI in August 1997 to better gauge the competitiveness of each district using the 1992 and 1996 presidential elections as a baseline. Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. color: #f0a236; background-color: #ccf; }. .image-candidate-thumbnail-wrapper .image-candidate-thumbnail { [9], 1998 display: block; Director, Safeguarding Democracy Project, Professor of Law, Drexel University Thomas R. Kline School of Law@tabathaabuelhajView posts , Frank G. Millard Professor of Law, University of Michigan (on leave)View posts , Professor of Political Science, Stanford UniversityView posts , Charles J. Ogletree Jr. background-color: #db0000; [lazy_load_term_meta] => 1 padding-bottom: 5px; font-size: 12px; The Senate released a proposed congressional map on September 27, 2021, and approved an amended version of the proposal on October 8, 2021. [name] => partisan-voter-index-definition These are considered competitive races but one party has an advantage. .leg-infobox-right-col { color:white; .outer_percentage { overflow-y: auto; .mw-body #mw-content-text .votebox .race_header h5.votebox-header-election-type { The Cook Partisan Voting Index score for the old district was R+2, while the score for the new district is D+1. The County Clerk oversees polling places for all suburban Cook County voters. margin-top: 1em; } [queries] => Array [tag] => ) Source. According to Politico, the PVI is designed to "provide a quick overall assessment of generic partisan strength in a congressional district. This made Texas' 30th the 28th most Democratic district nationally. [1] [2] St. Johns Legal Studies Research Paper No. } Ohio State Legal Studies Research Paper No. The Cook Partisan Voting Index measures how strongly a United States congressional district or state leans towards the Democrat or Republican Party at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole. display: inline; 2020-23, GWU Law School Public Law Research Paper No. [no_found_rows] => Request the spreadsheet here. .results_row td { display: block; [primary_table] => width: 350px; float: right; document.getElementById('leg-hnt-toggle63ffdc0a3871f').addEventListener('click', event => { 100% remote. [primary_id_column] => [1][2], The index is updated after each presidential election cycle, as well as after congressional redistricting. The least Republican-leaning states to have two Republican senators are Florida (R+3 PVI), represented by Marco Rubio and Rick Scott, and North Carolina (R+3 PVI), represented by Ted Budd and Thom Tillis. [5] The table below reflects the current state of Congress and governors, based on the most recent election results. } [date_query] => [16] This map took effect for Texas' 2022 congressional elections. Easily manage relationships with one platform to organize, monitor, and report. } [4], 2008 [4], The PVIs for congressional districts are calculated based on the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. [s] => overflow-x: scroll; padding-top: 3px; Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. A Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, the state or district performed about two points more Democratic in terms of two-party vote share than the nation did as a whole, while a score of R+4 means the state or district performed about four points more Republican. flex-direction: column; Save contact information, engage, and report on interactions all in one place. To calculate new 2022 Cook PVI scores for all 435 newly drawn districts, we've used 2016 and 2020 election results by district publicly available via Dave's Redistricting App, a free online mapping tool originally developed by Dave Bradlee that allows any user to draw and evaluate district boundaries. The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 1, 2022. Tabatha Abu El-Haj, Networking the Party: First Amendment Rights & the Pursuit of Responsive Party Government, 118 Colum. ( This district's elasticity score was 1.07. .results_text { display: flex; The Cook Partisan Voter Index, first published in 1997, rates the degree to which a congressional district leans Republican or Democrat by comparing the districts voting history in presidential elections to the nation as a whole. } background-color: #6db24f; [5], 2006 font-size: inherit; Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+27. Last year saw a slight increase in the number of swing districts as former Republican suburban seats moved left and midwestern Democratic seats moved right. [6], Inconsistencies among vote data aggregation processes and redistricting cycles can present challenges in determining the PVI. width: 100%; margin-top: 0px; Modeled after the Cook Partisan Voting Index, the Civitas Partisan Index (CPI) compares the political leanings of voters in each state House and Senate district with the partisan voting tendencies of the state as a whole. } Cook provided the following explanation of a sample PVI in its 2017 PVI summary: !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r 0 The index, developed by Charles Cook of the The Cook Political Report, compares each congressional district's score to that of the nation as a whole. Johnson defeated Barbara Mallory Caraway and Brandon Vance in the Democratic primary on March 1, 2016, while Lingerfelt faced no opposition in the Republican primary.[1][2]. border: 1px solid #999; Read More Map [update_menu_item_cache] => .leg-infobox-state-flag { [title] => ) background-color: #003388; ( The 30th Congressional District of Texas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012, in which incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) won re-election. } vertical-align: middle !important; padding-left: 0; Constitutional Commentary, Forthcoming, Harvard Public Law Working Paper No. padding-bottom: 3px; ( } But for places that have seen rapid shifts towards one party or the other in the last six years such as in South Florida or suburbs of Dallas the new formula "leans in" to the transformation underway. On November 7, 2000, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. .votebox-covid-disclaimer { .election_results_text { font-weight: bold; .leg-infobox-block { [post_author] => 1 [4] With a PVI of R+1, Michigan's 8th congressional district was determined to be the median congressional district, meaning that exactly 217 districts are more Democratic and 217 are more Republican than this district. [subpost] => font-style: italic; cook partisan voting index by state. font-style: italic; The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. By the most stringent measure, the CPI was accurate in over 94% of legislative races. Franita Tolson and Edward Foley. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 27 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. Increase PAC participation, collect contributions, and file with the FEC. 1 COOK PARTISAN VOTING INDEX. For more than two decades, the PVI has helped map the trends of our country's shifting political landscape. Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. } } The proposal I helped develop, Final Five Voting (FFV), requires two changes: (1) Eliminate party primaries. Stanford Law SchoolView posts , Sudler Family Professor These seats are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become competitive. Save time and grow faster with modern, easy-to-use tools. font-size: 20px; [comments_per_page] => 50 background-color: #f9d334; [tag_id] => font-weight: 200; [clauses:protected] => Array The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. Although the House's pro-GOP skew didn't budge much either way as a result of new maps, the number of competitive seats declined. display: inline-block; The PVIs for states are calculated based on the results of the U.S. presidential elections in 2016 and 2020. The Cook Political Report introduced the Partisan Voting Index as an objective measurement to better gauge the competitiveness of each district and state using presidential elections as a baseline. } For the 2022 dataset, that means that the 2020 result in each state district is weighted three times as heavily as the 2016 result. Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Shenita Cleveland, Barbara Mallory Caraway, and Hasani Burton in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 3, 2020. .inner_percentage, .inner_percentage.Nonpartisan, .inner_percentage.Independent, .inner_percentage.Constitution, .inner_percentage.unknown { ( Tip: Clicking on "PVI" on the table below will sort the list from most Democratic to most Republican districts. Texas' final congressional redistricting plan was approved by the Texas Legislature and signed by Gov. Available here, with maps for each congressional district and state. .votebox-results-metadata-p { border-radius: 50%; document.getElementById('leg-hnt-content63ffdc0a3871f').classList.add('leg-hnt-hide'); box-sizing: border-box; width: 35px !important; } 2022 Cook PVI scores for all 435 districts, 2022 Cook PVI scores for all 50 states and the District of Columbia. text-align: center; margin: 0; Sign up to receive best practices and product announcements. .leg-hnt-flex-item { [author__in] => Array But Hes Still a Danger, Washington Post, Mar. color: #fff; margin-top: 5px; } [post_type] => resources text-align: center ", 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201, The Republican Electoral College Advantage, Introducing the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI). letter-spacing: .03em; On November 3, 1998, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. display: flex; Click here to contact our editorial staff, and click here to report an error. [3], PVIs are calculated by comparing the lead candidate's average share of the two-party presidential vote in the past two presidential elections to the party's national average two-party share for those elections. Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Shawn Jones in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 30 on November 6, 2018. } How Supreme Court Radicalism Could Threaten Democracy Itself, How to Keep the Rising Tide of Fake News from Drowning Our Democracy, North Carolina Republicans Ask SCOTUS To Decimate Voting Rights in Every State, What Democrats Need From Mitch McConnell to Make an Election Reform Deal Worth It, No One is Coming to Save Us from the Dagger at the Throat of America,, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4353037, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4218256, Identifying and Minimizing the Risk of Election Subversion and Stolen Elections in the Contemporary United States, https://www.liebertpub.com/doi/epdf/10.1089/elj.2021.0050, Optimism and Despair About a 2020 Election Meltdown and Beyond, Three Pathologies of American Voting Rights Illuminated by the COVID-19 Pandemic, and How to Treat and Cure Them, Networking the Party: First Amendment Rights & the Pursuit of Responsive Party Government, A Reasonable Bias Approach to Gerrymandering: Using Automated Plan Generation to Evaluate Redistricting Proposals, Requiring Majority Winners for Congressional Elections: Harnessing Federalism to Combat Extremism, Failed Elections and the Legislative Selection of Electors, Power to Regulate Social Media Companies to Prevent Voter Suppression. What the Critics Get Incredibly Wrong About the Collins-Manchin Election Bill, Its Hard to Overstate the Danger of the Voting Case the Supreme Court Just Agreed to Hear, No One is Above the Law, and that Starts with Donald Trump, The Jan. 6 Committee Should Be Looking Ahead to Election Threats in 2024. B. Oswalt (L) in the general election. background-color: #db0000; Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2022, Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2020, Click here to read our new election calling policy and vote total update schedule, Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2018, Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2016, Texas' 30th Congressional District elections, 2014, Texas' 30th Congressional District elections, 2012, Redistricting in Texas after the 2020 census, Redistricting in Texas after the 2010 census, The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index, https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=Texas%27_30th_Congressional_District&oldid=8987209, Conflicts in school board elections, 2021-2022, Special Congressional elections (2023-2024), 2022 Congressional Competitiveness Report, State Executive Competitiveness Report, 2022, State Legislative Competitiveness Report, 2022, Partisanship in 2022 United States local elections. [post_parent] => position: absolute; table-layout: fixed; text-align: center; text-align: right; display: none; . 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index. Additionally, in Washingtons 13th Legislative District, Republican candidates won an average 64.73% of the two-party share in the 2012 presidential and gubernatorial elections, respectively.Comparing the average of those two results (64.73%) against the average statewide share of the same (45.43%), the district voted approximately 19 percentage points more Republican, or R+19.Following the presidential and gubernatorial elections, presidential and gubernatorial results are compiled to generate Hybrid Partisan Voting Index scores for statewide offices, congressional districts, and political districts or subdivisions including state legislative districts, counties, cities, and precincts. The Cook Partisan Voter Index, first published in 1997, rates the degree to which a congressional district leans Republican or Democrat by comparing the district's voting history in presidential elections to the nation as a whole. Mitch McConnells Two Most Important Votes, Christie Says GOP Must Call Biden a Liar , Solicitor General May Have Saved Student Loan Plan, Air Force Leaders Fired for Failing Nuclear Safety, Video Shows Drag Bill Author Dressed in Drag, Christie Says Grand Juror Damaged Case Against Trump, CPAC No Longer a Must-Stop for Republican Candidates, Comer Suggests Beau Biden Should Have Been Indicted, Trump Campaign Sought Help from Proud Boys, Kinzinger Launches Campaign Against Extremism, Florida Republican Would Ban Democratic Party, Havana Syndrome Not Caused by Energy Weapon, McCarthy Aide Meets with Mother of Rioter, Garland Promises Free Rein for Prosecutors, Trump Plans First Iowa Trip of 2024 Campaign, Trumps Ambassador Slams Netanyahus Judicial Plan, Biden Aides Mull Economic Aid After Derailment, Democratic Leaders Ask Murdoch to Stop Fox Lies. According to Politico, the PVIs for states are calculated based on results. 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